Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.265755 0.313779 0.371262 0.446114 0.542482 0.664481 0.834123
2024-12-22 0.189689 0.244740 0.319367 0.431586 0.603067 0.868480 1.341110
2024-12-29 0.154126 0.212151 0.298527 0.444279 0.702428 1.185256 2.303330
2025-01-05 0.126502 0.182014 0.270249 0.432292 0.754291 1.460839 3.560571
2025-01-12 0.110358 0.164926 0.256771 0.438892 0.842742 1.886508 6.028666
2025-01-19 0.096697 0.148757 0.240357 0.433500 0.903014 2.308658 9.813792
2025-01-26 0.088014 0.139227 0.233324 0.444353 1.009161 3.003436 18.707186
2025-02-02 0.081701 0.132662 0.230224 0.462613 1.148728 4.054318 42.699802
2025-02-09 0.075871 0.125968 0.225340 0.475011 1.282104 5.382520 113.237717
2025-02-16 0.071159 0.120632 0.222119 0.490645 1.441931 7.345847 464.247439
2025-02-23 0.066620 0.114964 0.217046 0.499748 1.588928 9.848671 4367.161261
2025-03-02 0.062436 0.109436 0.211257 0.505094 1.729721 13.131884 NaN
2025-03-09 0.058185 0.103367 0.203450 0.502986 1.844371 17.179865 NaN
2025-03-16 0.053901 0.096766 0.193390 0.491100 1.905321 21.328800 NaN
2025-03-23 0.051515 0.093927 0.192048 0.507944 2.153593 33.266297 NaN
2025-03-30 0.047996 0.088244 0.182684 0.494179 2.204415 41.836197 NaN
2025-04-06 0.045767 0.085173 0.179561 0.502252 2.421688 65.434936 NaN
2025-04-13 0.043187 0.081055 0.173085 0.495860 2.532269 92.109837 NaN
2025-04-20 0.041556 0.078927 0.171626 0.508870 2.830191 172.636945 NaN
2025-04-27 0.040336 0.077615 0.172202 0.530776 3.264334 433.321162 NaN
2025-05-04 0.038968 0.075817 0.171138 0.545679 3.678552 1299.254647 NaN
2025-05-11 0.037797 0.074372 0.170878 0.564504 4.206684 8191.134953 NaN
2025-05-18 0.036490 0.072477 0.169018 0.575482 4.688207 339063.499519 NaN